sevinПОВОЛЖСКИЙ ЭКОЛОГИЧЕСКИЙ ЖУРНАЛPovolzhskiy Journal of Ecology1684-73182541-8963Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт проблем экологии и эволюции им. А. Н. Северцова РАН; Товарищество научных изданий КМК.10.35885/1684-7318-2020-2-241-247sevin-198Research ArticleКРАТКИЕ СООБЩЕНИЯSHORT COMMUNICATIONSПотенциальный ареал Bulbocodium versicolor (Ker-Gawl.) Spreng. (Colchicaceae, Liliopsida) на территории РоссииPotential Range of Bulbocodium versicolor (Ker-Gawl.) Spreng. (Colchicaceae, Liliopsida) in Russiahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2342-2172КашинА. С.KashinA. S.

Alexandr S. Kashin

Navashina St., Saratov 410010

kashinas2@yandex.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9948-7298ПархоменкоА. С.ParkhomenkoA. S.

Alena S. Parkhomenko

Navashina St., Saratov 410010 

parkhomenko_as@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0781-7369КуликоваЛ. В.KulikovaL. V.

Lyudmila V. Kulikova

Navashina St., Saratov 410010 

kulikovaluda064@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1969-2783ПетроваН. А.PetrovaN. A.

Nadezhda A. Petrova

Navashina St., Saratov 410010 

nasch-1@ya.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9828-4229ШиловаИ. В.ShilovaI. V.

Irina V. Shilova

Navashina St., Saratov 410010 

schiva1952@yandex.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3241-2133ЛаврентьевМ. В.LavrentievM. V.

Michail V. Lavrentiev

Navashina St., Saratov 410010 

mihaillavrentev@yandex.ruШушуновВ. А.ShushunovV. A.

Vyacheslav A. Shushunov

Navashina St., Saratov 410010 

shushun2003@mail.ruБотанический сад Саратовского национального исследовательского государственного университета имени Н. Г. ЧернышевскогоРоссияBotanical Garden of Saratov State UniversityRussian Federation20200707202002241247Copyright © Кашин А.С., Пархоменко А.С., Куликова Л.В., Петрова Н.А., Шилова И.В., Лаврентьев М.В., Шушунов В.А., 20202020Кашин А.С., Пархоменко А.С., Куликова Л.В., Петрова Н.А., Шилова И.В., Лаврентьев М.В., Шушунов В.А.Kashin A.S., Parkhomenko A.S., Kulikova L.V., Petrova N.A., Shilova I.V., Lavrentiev M.V., Shushunov V.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://sevin.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/198

При анализе матрицы, содержащей координаты 166 местонахождений B. versicolor в Европейской России, в программе SDMtoolbox с использованием информации о климатических параметрах среды из открытой базы данных WorldСlim построена модель потенциального биоклиматического ареала этого вида. Модель демонстрирует, что в современных климатических условиях, исходя из имеющегося набора данных, B. versicolor может встречаться заметно шире, по крайней мере, на территории Белгородской, Воронежской, Волгоградской, Липецкой, Пензенской, Ростовской и Саратовской областей. Наиболее благоприятные условия по ареалу в пределах Европейской России для произрастания вида определены для всей большей части Воронежской и Волгоградской областей, а также по прилегающим к Приволжской возвышенности районам Правобережья и приволжским районам Левобережья Саратовской области. Максимальная прогнозируемая вероятность составляет 70 – 100%, но в среднем этот показатель находится на уровне 40 – 60%. Показано, что максимальный вклад в построение модели вносят осадки самого теплого и самого влажного (июнь – август) кварталов, в меньшей мере – средняя температура самого холодного (декабрь – февраль) и наиболее теплого (июнь – август) кварталов, а также среднегодовые осадки, и в ещё меньшей степени – осадки самого влажного месяца (июль) и самого сухого квартала (март – май). Биоклиматическая модель потенциального ареала позволяет более полно представить картину распространения вида.

The article presents a bioclimatic model of the potential range of Bulbocodium versicolor in European Russia. To build the model, we analyzed a matrix containing 166 B. versicolor localities in the studied region; the analysis was carried out in the SDMtoolbox program using the climatic paramaters from the WorldClim open database. The model demonstrates that, given the available dataset on the modern climatic conditions, B. versicolor may occur in a wider geographical range comprising, at the very least, the Belgorod, Voronezh, Volgograd, Lipetsk, Penza, Rostov and Saratov provinces. Also, within European Russia, the most favorable conditions for B. versicolor are found in most of the Voronezh and Volgograd provinces as well as in some areas of the Right Bank and Left Bank of the Volga River adjacent to the Volga Upland (in the Saratov province). The maximum occurrence probability is 70–100% while the average occurrence probability is 40– 60%. The maximum contribution to the model is made by the precipitation of the warmest and most humid quarter (June–August); a smaller contribution is made by the average temperature of the coldest (December–February) and warmest (June – August) quarters as well as by the average annual precipitation. The least contribution is made by the precipitation of the most humid month (July) and the driest quarter (March–May). Finally, we conclude that bioclimatic model facilitates a better understanding of the geographical distribution of the species in question.

моделированиепотенциальный биоклиматический ареалSDMtoolboxB. versicolorbioclimatic modellingpotential bioclimatic rangeSDMtoolboxB. versicolorReferencesAnanyeva N. B., Golynsky E. A. The Distribution of Paralaudakia lehmanni: Analysis in the MaxEnt Program. Proceedings of the Zoological Institute RAS, 2013, vol. 317, no. 4, pp. 426–437 (in Russian).Ananyeva N. B., Golynsky E. A. The Distribution of Paralaudakia lehmanni: Analysis in the MaxEnt Program. Proceedings of the Zoological Institute RAS, 2013, vol. 317, no. 4, pp. 426–437 (in Russian).Anderson R. P., Lew D., Peterson A. T. Evaluating Predictive Models of Species’ Distributions: Criteria for Selecting Models. Ecological Modelling, 2003, vol. 162, pp. 211–232.Anderson R. P., Lew D., Peterson A. T. Evaluating Predictive Models of Species’ Distributions: Criteria for Selecting Models. Ecological Modelling, 2003, vol. 162, pp. 211–232.Araújo M. B., Pearson R. G., Thuiller W., Erhard M. Validation of Species-climate Impact Models Under Climate Change. Global Change Biology, 2005, vol. 11, no. 9, pp. 1504–1513.Araújo M. B., Pearson R. G., Thuiller W., Erhard M. Validation of Species-climate Impact Models Under Climate Change. Global Change Biology, 2005, vol. 11, no. 9, pp. 1504–1513.Brown J. L., Bennett J., French C. M. SDMtoolbox: The Next Generation Python Based GIS Toolkit for Landscape Genetic, Biogeographic and Species Distribution Model Analyses. Peer J., 2017, vol. 5, pp. e4095. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.4095Brown J. L., Bennett J., French C. M. SDMtoolbox: The Next Generation Python Based GIS Toolkit for Landscape Genetic, Biogeographic and Species Distribution Model Analyses. Peer J., 2017, vol. 5, pp. e4095. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.4095Chiryulina A. G., Bocharnikov M. V. Modelling of the Potential Range of Caragana jubata (Pall.) Poir Based on the Climatic Data. Proceedings of the Russian State Hydrometeorological University, 2019, no. 54, pp. 100–108 (in Russian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.33933/2074-2762-2019-54-100-108Chiryulina A. G., Bocharnikov M. V. Modelling of the Potential Range of Caragana jubata (Pall.) Poir Based on the Climatic Data. Proceedings of the Russian State Hydrometeorological University, 2019, no. 54, pp. 100–108 (in Russian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.33933/2074-2762-2019-54-100-108Conti F., Bartolucci F. Specie a rischio in Abruzzo. Elenco delle piante di interesse conservazionistico. In: C. Console, F. Conti, F. Contu, A. R. Frattaroli, G. Pirone, eds. La Biodiversità vegetale in Abruzzo. Tutela e conservazione del patrimonio vegetale abruzzese. L’Aquila, One Group Edizioni, 2012, pp. 81–109.Conti F., Bartolucci F. Specie a rischio in Abruzzo. Elenco delle piante di interesse conservazionistico. In: C. Console, F. Conti, F. Contu, A. R. Frattaroli, G. Pirone, eds. La Biodiversità vegetale in Abruzzo. Tutela e conservazione del patrimonio vegetale abruzzese. L’Aquila, One Group Edizioni, 2012, pp. 81–109.Conti F., Aurelio M., Franco P. Liste Rosse Region allidelle Pianted’Italia. Camerino, Università degli Studi, 1997.139 S.Conti F., Aurelio M., Franco P. Liste Rosse Region allidelle Pianted’Italia. Camerino, Università degli Studi, 1997.139 S.Csapody I. Védett növényeink. Budapest, Gondolat, 1982. 349 p.Csapody I. Védett növényeink. Budapest, Gondolat, 1982. 349 p.Fick S. E., Hijmans R. J. WorldClim 2: New 1-km Spatial Resolution Climate Surfacesfor Global Land Areas. International J. Climatology, 2017, vol. 37, pp. 4302–4315. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5086Fick S. E., Hijmans R. J. WorldClim 2: New 1-km Spatial Resolution Climate Surfacesfor Global Land Areas. International J. Climatology, 2017, vol. 37, pp. 4302–4315. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5086Melnik V. I., Gritsenko V. V., Shevchenko D. Yu., Didenko S. Ya. Bulbocodium versicolor (Melantiaceae) – A Rare Species of Flora in Eastern Europe (Geographical Distribution, Habitat Conditions and Population Structure). Kiev, Phytosociocenter Publ., 2007. 44 p. (in Ukraine).Melnik V. I., Gritsenko V. V., Shevchenko D. Yu., Didenko S. Ya. Bulbocodium versicolor (Melantiaceae) – A Rare Species of Flora in Eastern Europe (Geographical Distribution, Habitat Conditions and Population Structure). Kiev, Phytosociocenter Publ., 2007. 44 p. (in Ukraine).Mayevsky P. F. Flora of the Central Part of European Russia. Moscow, KMK Scientific Press Ltd., 2014. 635 p. (in Russian).Mayevsky P. F. Flora of the Central Part of European Russia. Moscow, KMK Scientific Press Ltd., 2014. 635 p. (in Russian).Olonova M. V., Gudkova P. D. Bioclimatic Modelling: Practice Tasks and Guidelines. Tomsk, Izdatelskiy dom Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2017. 50 p. (in Russian).Olonova M. V., Gudkova P. D. Bioclimatic Modelling: Practice Tasks and Guidelines. Tomsk, Izdatelskiy dom Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2017. 50 p. (in Russian).Oltean M., Negreanu G., Popescu A., Roman N., Dihoru G., Sanda V., Mihailescu S. Liştarosie a plantelor superioare din România. Studii, Sinteze, Documentatii de Ecologie, 1994, no. 1, pp. 1–52.Oltean M., Negreanu G., Popescu A., Roman N., Dihoru G., Sanda V., Mihailescu S. Liştarosie a plantelor superioare din România. Studii, Sinteze, Documentatii de Ecologie, 1994, no. 1, pp. 1–52.Petrova N. A., Shilova I. V., Kashin A. S., Berezutskiy M. A., Serova L. A., Reshetnikova T. B. On Distribution of B. versicolor in the Saratov Province. Bulletin of Botanical Garden of Saratov State University, 2015, iss. 13. pp. 25–31 (in Russian).Petrova N. A., Shilova I. V., Kashin A. S., Berezutskiy M. A., Serova L. A., Reshetnikova T. B. On Distribution of B. versicolor in the Saratov Province. Bulletin of Botanical Garden of Saratov State University, 2015, iss. 13. pp. 25–31 (in Russian).Phillips S. A Brief Tutorial on Maxent. Lessons in Conservation, 2010, vol. 3, pp. 108–135.Phillips S. A Brief Tutorial on Maxent. Lessons in Conservation, 2010, vol. 3, pp. 108–135.Phillips S. J., Dudík M. Modelling of Species Distribution With MaxEnt: New Extensions and a Comprehensive Evaluation. Ecography, 2008, vol. 31, iss. 2, pp. 161–175.Phillips S. J., Dudík M. Modelling of Species Distribution With MaxEnt: New Extensions and a Comprehensive Evaluation. Ecography, 2008, vol. 31, iss. 2, pp. 161–175.Phillips S. J., Anderson R. P., Schapire R. E. Maximum Entropy Modeling of Species Geographic Distributions. Ecological Modeling, 2006, vol. 190, iss. 3, pp. 231–259.Phillips S. J., Anderson R. P., Schapire R. E. Maximum Entropy Modeling of Species Geographic Distributions. Ecological Modeling, 2006, vol. 190, iss. 3, pp. 231–259.Sagalayev V. A., Shantser I. A. Family 36. Colchicaceae DC. Flora of the Lower Volga Region. Moscow, KMK Scientific Press Ltd., 2006, vol. 1, pp. 331–333 (in Russian).Sagalayev V. A., Shantser I. A. Family 36. Colchicaceae DC. Flora of the Lower Volga Region. Moscow, KMK Scientific Press Ltd., 2006, vol. 1, pp. 331–333 (in Russian).Solodyankina S. V., Istomina E. A., Sorokovoy A. A., Chepinoga V. V. Modelling of the Potential Range of Anemone baicalensis, Ranunculaceae in the Baikal Region. Geography and Natural Resources, 2016, no. 5, pp. 92–99 (in Russian).Solodyankina S. V., Istomina E. A., Sorokovoy A. A., Chepinoga V. V. Modelling of the Potential Range of Anemone baicalensis, Ranunculaceae in the Baikal Region. Geography and Natural Resources, 2016, no. 5, pp. 92–99 (in Russian).Tsvelev N. N. Bulbocodium versicolor (Ker-Gawl.) Spreng. In: The Red Book of the Russian Federation (Plants and Mushrooms). Moscow, KMK Scientific Press Ltd., 2008, pp. 339–340 (in Russian).Tsvelev N. N. Bulbocodium versicolor (Ker-Gawl.) Spreng. In: The Red Book of the Russian Federation (Plants and Mushrooms). Moscow, KMK Scientific Press Ltd., 2008, pp. 339–340 (in Russian).Ward D. F. Modelling the potential geographic distribution of invasive ant in New Zeland. Biological Invasions, 2007, vol. 9, pp. 723–735.Ward D. F. Modelling the potential geographic distribution of invasive ant in New Zeland. Biological Invasions, 2007, vol. 9, pp. 723–735.

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.